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The game that will define the Chicago Cubs

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It’s the moment of truth for the Chicago Cubs. After being shut out by the Los Angeles Dodgers two games in a row, they trail 2-1 in the National League Championship Series. They have to win tonight’s game to prove they’re as good as they think they are. Why? ESPN broke it down for us:

  • In the history of best-of-seven postseason series that were tied 1-1, the team that lost Game 3 has come back to win the series just 29.5 percent of the time.
  • In the League Championship Series, that rate drops to 27.3 percent.
  • Over the past 30 years, seven teams like the Cubs have found themselves in this precarious position – down 2-1 in a best-of-seven series – after winning 100 games that season. Only two have come back to win – the 1995 Indians and the 1998 Yankees.

With odds like that, this hardly seems like an even match.

Add to that the fact that the Cubs have spent this entire season, except for one day, in first place. They’ve always led their division by at least five games. They haven’t had to go from 0 to 60 in one day, like they do tonight.

“Teams that win the whole thing always have games that define them,” Chris Coghlan said. “They always have games you look back on and say, ‘Holy cow, I can’t believe they won that game,’ or, ‘How did they pull out of that?’ Well, I feel like we’ve had a couple of those already. … And I think every person in this locker room feels like we’ll have a couple more of those in us now.”

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