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2020 Fantasy Football Stat Projections

2020 Fantasy Football Stat Projections

This year, the number crunchers at TeamRankings are applying their analytical and value-driven approach to providing fantasy football player projections and rankings for 2020. All rankings and stat projections for the 2020 season are available for free in the new fantasy football section of our betting site, BetIQ.com.

(Like always, we also will have NFL Survivor Pool Picks, Football Pick ’em Picks, and NFL Betting Picks for the 2020-21 season.) 

DOMINATE YOUR DRAFT: Ultimate 2020 cheat sheet

Our fantasy rankings are grounded in objective and reliable data, including betting market expectations for how many games teams will win this season, as well as team stats from last year. We also have developed models that analyze similar players (by age, stats, and other factors) and how teams historically have distributed touches among position players. If you wish, you can read a full explanation of what went into creating these player rankings

Below we list the top-10 quarterbacks and tight ends and top-20 running backs and wide receivers in our rankings, assuming standard fantasy football scoring. Check out our full fantasy football projections for the complete list of players and more scoring formats, like PPR and half-PPR.

Please note that these projections and rankings below were generated on Aug. 21 and are subject to change based on breaking news, injuries, etc. Our latest numbers will always be available on the fantasy football section of BetIQ.com.

2020 FANTASY SLEEPERS:
6 QBs | 16 RBs | 14 WRs | 10 TEs | 5 D/STs  | One from each team

2020 Fantasy Football Stat Projections: QB

The top-10 list for our quarterback projections features many familiar young names and dynamic talents, starting with Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson. 

Our ranking for Kyler Murray is a little lower than the consensus. Plenty of folks, after seeing consecutive years where a second-year starting QB exploded to win MVP, are drafting Murray as the most likely option to continue that trend after Mahomes and Jackson in 2020. 

Murray comes with significant risks, though, including Arizona’s below-average projected win total, the uneven performance of similar teams with highly drafted second-year QBs, and some historical inconsistency from players similar to him. Our 2020 projections are more sanguine about Murray’s likely performance this season.

Remember that just one year ago when Lamar Jackson burst on the scene, the fantasy community was drafting the previous year’s first overall pick, Baker Mayfield, in the top five at the QB position. 

These projections are for four-point passing TD leagues.

Rank Player Bye Pass Yds Pass TDs INTs Rush Yds Rush TDs Fan. Points
1 Patrick Mahomes 10 4552 35.0 9.1 269 2.0 342.8
2 Lamar Jackson 8 3361 26.2 10.7 868 5.5 339.9
3 Russell Wilson 6 3993 29.5 10.1 349 2.9 309.9
4 Dak Prescott 10 4312 27.6 11.9 242 3.6 304.9
5 Deshaun Watson 8 3841 24.4 11.5 391 4.3 296.9
6 Matt Ryan 10 4538 27.4 12.2 143 1.3 290.6
7 Josh Allen 11 3480 21.0 11.8 537 5.0 283.3
8 Kyler Murray 8 3891 21.6 12.4 421 3.1 277.9
9 Carson Wentz 9 4154 26.3 10.8 173 1.3 274.9
10 Tom Brady 13 4293 26.2 11.3 28 1.5 265.7

2020 Fantasy Football Stat Projections: RB

It’s very important to pay attention to your scoring system when drafting all players, but especially running backs. Alvin Kamara is an extreme example of this. Kamara is seventh in our standard RB rankings based on his projections, but he is third in our PPR RB Rankings because of his projected catches.

Derrick Henry, a pounding back who does not catch many passes, is the opposite of Kamara. He’s our third-highest scoring back in leagues that do not use receptions, but moves down the board in PPR leagues. So, you will want to fully account for your league scoring when considering who to draft in the first round after the first couple of picks are off the board.

These projections are for standard, non-PPR leagues. For PPR projections, click here

Rank Player Bye Att Rush Yds Rush TDs Tgts Rec. Rec. Yds Rec. TDs Fan. Points
1 Christian McCaffrey 13 233 1048 9.5 119 87 741 3.6 258.6
2 Saquon Barkley 11 254 1134 8.9 75 51 445 2.4 225.7
3 Derrick Henry 7 257 1172 11.2 29 22 189 1.2 211.3
4 Ezekiel Elliott 10 265 1104 8.1 63 46 372 2.0 208.2
5 Dalvin Cook 7 220 1003 8.6 54 42 374 0.9 194.7
6 Joe Mixon 9 242 1076 7.8 44 32 289 1.7 193.5
7 Alvin Kamara 6 165 730 7.0 98 72 575 2.8 189.5
8 Clyde Edwards-Helaire 10 193 866 8.1 59 43 364 2.8 188.4
9 Kenyan Drake 8 207 938 8.3 51 36 341 1.7 187.8
10 Miles Sanders 9 216 951 6.4 60 44 407 1.9 186.1
11 Austin Ekeler 10 192 857 5.2 82 54 498 2.4 181.1
12 Nick Chubb 9 256 1093 7.8 30 23 175 0.9 179.0
13 Aaron Jones 5 206 880 7.7 50 35 316 2.0 177.8
14 Josh Jacobs 6 240 1059 7.5 39 27 198 0.4 173.1
15 Leonard Fournette 7 213 913 5.6 63 43 316 1.0 162.5
16 Chris Carson 6 213 911 6.6 36 27 195 1.0 156.2
17 Melvin Gordon III 8 204 862 5.7 50 34 266 0.7 151.6
18 Le’Veon Bell 11 197 783 4.9 56 42 337 1.5 150.4
19 Jonathan Taylor 7 193 845 7.0 28 22 181 0.8 149.5
20 James Conner 8 176 750 6.2 46 34 267 1.5 148.8

More From TeamRankings:
Football Pick ’em Picks | NFL Survivor Picks | NFL Betting Picks

2020 Fantasy Football Stat Projections: WR

Calvin Ridley is one player that stands out in our wide receiver rankings. There are several reasons we’re more bullish on Ridley than the general consensus, where he is being drafted in the teens at the WR position.

First, the Falcons again project as a high-volume passing team in 2020. In fact, our projections have Atlanta as the top team in pass attempts and second only to Kansas City in passing yards.

Second, Ridley (a former first-round pick) has already been productive and is entering year three of his career. Quite a few similar players have broken out with bigger performances at the same stage, and Ridley has the opportunity to do the same on a team likely to be among the passing yard leaders.

These projections are for standard, non-PPR leagues. For PPR projections, click here

Rank Player Bye Rush Yds Rush TDs Tgts Rec. Rec. Yds Rec. TDs Fan. Points
1 Michael Thomas 6 5 0.1 147 113 1324 7.3 177.3
2 Davante Adams 5 4 0.0 148 88 1155 9.1 170.6
3 Tyreek Hill 10 79 0.4 121 73 1069 8.3 167.0
4 Julio Jones 10 6 0.0 144 90 1253 5.9 162.9
5 Kenny Golladay 5 18 0.1 122 76 1087 7.5 156.1
6 DeAndre Hopkins 8 4 0.0 138 86 1122 6.5 151.9
7 Adam Thielen 7 29 0.1 116 72 1052 6.6 148.2
8 Chris Godwin 13 5 0.0 126 74 1066 6.7 147.2
9 Amari Cooper 10 4 0.0 120 71 1018 7.1 144.8
10 Calvin Ridley 10 34 0.0 125 78 992 6.9 144.0
11 A.J. Brown 7 45 0.6 107 60 980 5.4 138.9
12 Mike Evans 13 0 0.0 123 76 1030 5.8 137.8
13 Robert Woods 9 65 0.4 117 71 943 5.4 135.5
14 DJ Moore 13 44 0.3 125 83 977 4.9 133.4
15 Allen Robinson II 11 3 0.0 138 79 975 5.7 132.2
16 DeVante Parker 11 3 0.1 115 68 903 6.3 131.9
17 DK Metcalf 6 17 0.1 98 58 869 7.0 131.2
18 Cooper Kupp 9 8 0.0 120 76 987 5.2 130.7
19 Odell Beckham Jr. 9 11 0.2 122 69 934 5.6 130.3
20 JuJu Smith-Schuster 8 0 0.0 114 68 905 6.5 129.5

2020 Fantasy Football Stat Projections: TE

Tight end rankings can have plenty of variation after the top few guys. Travis Kelce and George Kittle lead our projections, followed by Mark Andrews and Zach Ertz.

After that, things are more wide open. Very few projected fantasy points separate the tight ends we rank between sixth and 15th, and the order can change depending on the scoring format. 

T.J. Hockenson is relatively high in our projections. That’s driven in part by comparable players, where recent history has shown that the second year is the most frequent year for tight end breakouts. Hockenson put up decent production for a rookie while Matthew Stafford was at QB for Detroit, but his numbers tanked (and he got hurt) after Stafford’s injury.

These projections are for standard, non-PPR leagues. For PPR projections, click here

Rank Player Bye Rush. Yds Rush TDs Tgts Rec. Rec. Yds Rec. TDs Fan. Points
1 Travis Kelce 10 6 0.1 115 74 1004 7.1 144.1
2 George Kittle 11 13 0.1 113 77 998 5.7 135.9
3 Mark Andrews 8 0 0.0 88 59 752 6.7 115.3
4 Zach Ertz 9 0 0.0 104 70 770 4.8 105.8
5 Darren Waller 6 5 0.1 91 60 756 4.0 100.7
6 T.J. Hockenson 5 0 0.0 82 50 586 4.7 86.8
7 Evan Engram 11 20 0.1 87 47 587 4.2 86.5
8 Rob Gronkowski 13 0 0.0 67 43 542 5.2 85.4
9 Mike Gesicki 11 0 0.0 84 51 577 4.4 84.1
10 Jared Cook 6 0 0.0 72 46 562 4.2 81.4

For our complete projections of nearly 300 players and team defenses, visit our fantasy football section on BetIQ.com. If you play in football pools, don’t forget to check out our NFL Survivor Picks or Football Pick ’em Picks.

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Christine founded Sports Grind Entertainment with an aim to bring relevant and unaltered Sports news to the general public with a specific view point for each story catered by the team. She is a proficient journalist who holds a reputable portfolio with proficiency in content analysis and research.

About the author

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Christine Watkins

Christine founded Sports Grind Entertainment with an aim to bring relevant and unaltered Sports news to the general public with a specific view point for each story catered by the team. She is a proficient journalist who holds a reputable portfolio with proficiency in content analysis and research.

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