New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 5/25/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Thursday, May 25, 2023

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-105) Chicago (-115)

The New York Mets (25-24) are on their way to Wrigley Field on Thursday where they will try to beat the Chicago Cubs (21-26). The odds on this game have New York at -105 and Chicago is at -115. The betting total comes in at 9. The men taking the mound are Carlos Carrasco and Jameson Taillon.

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New York is slugging .390 and have been called out on strikes 368 times, while drawing a walk on 172 occasions. They have 201 runs batted in as well as 393 hits for the season, while their team batting average is at .242. The Mets have accounted for 68 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 55 baseballs out of the park. They have 209 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .323. As a team, the New York Mets are scoring 4.3 runs per outing, which puts them at 20th in MLB.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 2.23 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.35. Mets pitchers have allowed 68 long balls in addition to 228 runs in total (20th in baseball). New York has given up 391 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) as well as 222 earned runs. The Mets have compiled a team earned run average of 4.70 over the course of the season (24th in the league), and the staff has struck out 404 batters. They have walked 181 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.94 as a squad so far this year.

The Mets have sent 153 relief pitchers to the hill for the season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 62 base runners so far this year with 24.2% of those players ended up scoring. They have accumulated 14 saves so far this season and have blown 4 out of their 18 chances to get a save. The Mets relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 77.8% and stepped onto the hill in 53 save situations. The bullpen have racked up 35 holds for the season (3rd in MLB). Mets relief pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 41 times in addition to having 51 appearances in high leverage situations.

The New York Mets have accounted for 1,275 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 427 assists and 17 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .990 which puts them in 5th in MLB, and they have turned 43 double plays. The Mets have turned 70.9% of balls in play into outs out of their 3,825 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 5th in pro baseball.

Carrasco has thrown 1,466 frames and has racked up 1,518 strikeouts in his career. His ERA is 3.93 (641 ER’s allowed) and his WHIP is 1.223. He has given up 1,404 hits (8.6 hits per nine innings) and has 390 walks. Carrasco (104-87 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 3.54 and he has faced 6,083 opposing hitters during his time in the majors.

Chicago has accumulated 61 home runs so far this season as well as 219 runs batted in. They have recorded 77 doubles, while walking 179 times and racking up 227 runs. The Chicago Cubs have earned an OBP of .339 in addition to a team batting average of .262 this year. The Cubs have a team SLG% of .430 and they score 4.83 runs per game (11th in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 432 instances (10th in the league) and are sitting with 424 hits.

The Cubs have a team WHIP of 1.231 in addition to having a FIP of 3.94 as a squad for the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.60 (397 strikeouts vs 140 walks). They are currently ranked 2nd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 371. They have conceded 46 homers and they yield 4.36 runs per 9 innings (12th in the league). The Chicago pitching staff have conceded 201 runs on the year while holding a team ERA of 4.12 (190 earned runs surrendered).

Chicago has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 10 save chances and they have come away with 5 saves. They are currently ranked 27th in baseball with a save percentage of 50.0%, and they have dispatched 152 relievers to the mound so far this season. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 35 times in high leverage situations and on 35 occasions with runners on. Chicago relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 24.5% out of their 53 inherited base runners. With 33 save situations, the Cubs have compiled 22 holds in addition to 5 blown saves.

In their 3,735 innings on the field, the Cubs are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.1% (9th in the majors). The Chicago Cubs have gotten 44 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .988 (10th in pro baseball). The Cubs have recorded 432 assists, 21 errors and have amassed 1,245 putouts on the campaign.

So far in his career, Taillon has surrendered 798 base hits while he has accumulated 737 punch outs in 814 frames. Taillon (51-38 career record) is the owner of a 3.98 ERA while allowing 8.8 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 360 ER’s while earning a WHIP of 1.229 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.8. His K/BB ratio is 3.63 and he has faced 3,406 hitters in his career.

Who will win tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn’s Pick: Take Chicago (-115)

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