There are fantasy players we like, and fantasy players we don’t. But like most any topic, one side is not right or wrong all the time. Even if one side is right most of the time, most of the time is not all of the time. The Stopped Clock Theory, ya know.
To wit, the Madman is not interested in having James Conner as a consistent presence in our starting lineups. We don’t like having to use players so touchdown-dependent, who lack explosiveness, who essentially need snaps at the 1-yard line to be an effective fantasy asset — four of Conner’s five TDs this season have been 1-yard runs.
He looks like a running back who was largely a flash in the pan. Following his best season in Pittsburgh, when he had 1,470 yards from scrimmage with 55 catches and 13 touchdowns, he has yet to accumulate another 1,000-yard season, and had just 13 TDs combined the following two seasons before landing in Arizona this year. It is hard to conjure any enthusiasm to start him at this point.
Most of the time, we’re going to be right using this approach. But, as we said, most is not all. Sometimes, the less likely outcome will occur. And every so often, you might see this anomaly approaching ahead of time.
He scored twice in Week 3 versus the Jaguars. In retrospect, maybe we should have seen that coming. But, just 10 rushing TDs the past two years combined, and he easily is the less talented between himself and Cardinals backfield mate Chase Edmonds, so we had no reason to believe he would get such opportunities.
The next week, he scored twice again, this time against the Rams — harder to foresee. But, a couple of chances from the 1-yard line, circumstances impossible to forecast, certainly help.
After scoring once the following week against the 49ers, he still was averaging an awful 3.19 yards per carry. He was the new Late-Stage Jerome Bettis.
His best game was last week in Cleveland, when he rushed for a season-high 71 yards on 16 carries — yet he didn’t score, so his fantasy production wasn’t there.
This week, he gets a weak Texans defense. Since Week 3, the Texans have played just one close game. They have been blown out by scores of 40-0 and 31-3 two of the past three weeks. The Cardinals are the only undefeated team in the league, have the second-highest point differential and favored by more than two TDs.
If turns into a rout, as expected, that means more Conner runs to kill the clock, possibly beginning as early as the mid-third quarter. He is a good bet to top his season high of 18 carries, which came against the Rams. And you know how the Madman loves volume.
So in a week with some devastating byes and injuries among RBs, for a limited time only, we endorse James Conner for a starting spot on your roster.
Damien Harris RB, Patriots, vs. Jets (FanDuel $6,800/DraftKings $5,700)
The Jets are the league’s worst at defending opposing fantasy RBs. They have given up six RB touchdowns in four games ,and at least one every game after Week 1. Feared fumbles had put Harris in the doghouse, then he got 18 carries last week.
Sterling Shepard WR, Giants, vs. Panthers (FD $6,500/DK $5,600)
Assuming his hamstring doesn’t flare up and he plays, is there anyone left for the Giants to target in the passing game? Anyone? Bueller?
Darnell Mooney WR, Bears, at Buccaneers (FD $5,900/DK $4,600)
Has at least seven targets in four of six games. The Bucs are poor at defending the pass, but they can score, which means the Bears will have to throw to keep up.
C.J. Uzomah TE, Bengals, at Ravens (FD $5,200/DK $3,000)
The Ravens have allowed a tight end TD in four of six games. Uzomah has scored three times in the past three weeks.
Elijah Mitchell RB, 49ers, vs. Colts (FD $5,800/DK $5,100)
With all the byes and injuries, you might have to play him, but the Colts have been stiff vs. fantasy RBs — 5.2 fewer PPR points per week than the league average. Mitchell has one good game — Week 1 — on his ledger.
Ja’Marr Chase WR, Bengals, at Ravens (FD $7,500/DK $6,200)
Has an abnormal TD-to-touch rate that eventually has to level out. The Ravens have allowed just one TD to a WR in the past four games.
Allen Robinson WR, Bears, at Buccaneers (FD $5,800/DK $5,100)
After healthy 11 targets in Week 1, has averaged just five targets per week since. Just one TD and one double-digit PPR game — same game, a season-high 10.4 points. Just awful.
Tyler Lockett WR, Seahawks, vs. Saints (FD $6,600/DK $6,200)
Three of his past four games have produced single-digit PPR results. Even against a vulnerable Saints secondary, he has Geno Smith throwing him the ball.
Christine founded Sports Grind Entertainment with an aim to bring relevant and unaltered Sports news to the general public with a specific view point for each story catered by the team. She is a proficient journalist who holds a reputable portfolio with proficiency in content analysis and research.