President Trump and Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden are tied in a new NBC News/Marist poll of Florida voters in the latest sign of a tightening race.
For months, Trump has lagged behind Biden in national and swing-state polls, but recent surveys, especially in Midwest battlegrounds, show him gaining on Biden.
The Florida poll of likely voters found 48 percent support for both Trump and Biden. The Democratic candidate is one point down among registered voters.
The poll results, released as Trump travels to Florida on Tuesday, indicate that Trump gained significant support among Hispanic voters since 2016, but is at risk of losing his edge among retirees.
Among senior citizens, the NBC poll found Trump with 48 percent support to Biden’s 49 percent. In 2016 Trump carried Florida seniors by 17 percentage points, according to exit polls.
In another massive swing, Trump leads among Florida Hispanics, 50 percent to 46 percent, according to the NBC poll, despite losing the demographic by 27 points in 2016 to Hillary Clinton.
Many recent Florida polls show Biden narrowly ahead. He leads Trump by 1.4 points in the RealClearPolitics average of recent state polls.
Trump’s poll performance recently improved across the Midwest after summer polls showed him at risk of a devastating loss to Biden in Rust Belt states that broke for him in 2016.
Three public polls released last week show Trump within the margin of error or tied with Biden in Pennsylvania.
The Trump campaign on Tuesday told a small group of reporters that internal campaign polls show Trump narrowly ahead in Arizona, which he won in 2016, and in Nevada, which he lost.
Public polling in both Arizona and Nevada indicate Trump is losing. The president is scheduled to visit Reno and Las Vegas this weekend.
Trump allies and some pollsters believe he may benefit from “secret” supporters who won’t publicly admit they back Trump, but will show up on Election Day.