The Vegas Golden Knights meet the Dallas Stars in Game 4 of their Western Conference Final playoff series Thursday. Puck drop at American Airlines Arena is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Golden Knights vs. Stars odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.
Vegas is on the brink of its 2nd Stanley Cup Final appearance in its 6-year existence. The Golden Knights took a 3-0 series lead with an impressive 4-0 victory in Dallas Tuesday. They jumped out to a 3-0 lead just over 7 minutes into the game and never looked back. G Adin Hill was phenomenal with a 34-save shutout.
Stars LW Jamie Benn received a 5-minute major for cross checking Golden Knights RW Mark Stone 1:53 into the game with Dallas already down 1-0. Vegas responded by scoring twice in the next 5½.
The Stars outshot the Golden Knights 34-16 but could not crack Hill. The Stars will have to play a tight game and keep their composure Thursday if they hope to extend the series.
Golden Knights at Stars odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:31 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Golden Knights -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Stars -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Golden Knights +1.5 (-275) | Stars -1.5 (+220)
- Over/Under (O/U): 5.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Golden Knights at Stars projected goalies
Adin Hill (16-7-1, 2.50 GAA, .915 SV%, 0 SO – regular season) vs. Jake Oettinger (37-11-11, 2.37 GAA, .919 SV%, 5 SO – regular season)
Hill stopped all 34 shots in Game 3, and he has a ridiculous .949 SV% in the series. He is 6-1 with a 1.96 GAA and .940 SV% in these playoffs. He’s playing a little above himself right now, though, so some regression should be expected.
Oettinger was pulled 7:10 into Game 3 after Vegas’ 3rd goal — he finished with just 2 saves on 5 shots. He has now lost 3 games in a row and 4 of 5. The Stars go as he goes, and he has been going down the tubes. Oettinger is 8-8 with a 3.02 GAA and .895 SV% in the playoffs.
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Golden Knights at Stars picks and predictions
Stars 3, Golden Knights 2
I don’t see the Golden Knights sweeping this series. The first 2 games — in Vegas — went to overtime, and Game 3 really just got out of hand after Benn’s major penalty 2 minutes in.
Oettinger makes a stand Thursday and gets the Stars one here. TAKE DALLAS (-115).
Puck line/Against the spread
No interest in either puck line here, but this will be a redemption game for Oettinger. Vegas will bring some pressure now that they know the Florida Panthers — who completed a sweep of the Carolina Hurricanes in the Eastern Conference Final Wednesday — are waiting on the winner of this series in the Stanley Cup Final.
PASS on the puck line, but BET JAKE OETTINGER OVER 25.5 SAVES (-125).
Not only has the Under cashed in the last 2 games. the Under is 7-2-1 in the last 10 between these teams, and 7-0 in the last 7 head-to-heads in Dallas. According to Covers.com, the Under is also 8-1-1 in VGK’s last 10 Conference Final games and 8-1-2 in the Stars’ last 11 Conference Final games.
It boils down to this: Game 4 needs to be an Under for Dallas to have a chance.
LEAN UNDER 5.5 (-110).
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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