White Sox vs. Tigers Odds
The Detroit Tigers came out and convincingly took the series opener last night. Now they have their eyes set on making it two in a row.
However, the Chicago White Sox aim to turn last night’s loss into a blip on the radar, as they’re still 7-3 over their last 10 ball games.
The starting pitchers will factor heavily into this matchup, as each lineup has struggled this season.
Getting the ball for the Tigers will be Joey Wentz. The young left-hander was hit hard in his last outing, which vaulted his season ERA up to 7.45. It remains to be seen if he’ll turn things around tonight.
As for the White Sox, they’ll hand the ball to Lance Lynn. Lynn started off the year on a horrid stretch, but he appears to have settled in over his last two outings.
This will be his best matchup on paper thus far this season, and history shows he should take advantage of it.
So, what’s the best bet in Game 2 of this AL Central series? Let’s dive in to find out.
The White Sox lineup has been very underwhelming this season. Yes, they’ve dealt with multiple vital injuries already, but the fact is that they’re hitting .237 as a team.
However, the good news is their offensive outlook for this matchup is great. Despite not being at full strength, the White Sox are still a team that has hit lefties very well.
They enter this matchup with a wRC+ of 105 against lefties and a BABIP of .298.
Wentz is an ideal matchup for them, as he’s allowed a great deal of hard contact and hasn’t missed many bats this season.
Wentz ranks in the bottom 20% of all qualified pitchers in strikeout and whiff rate while also sitting below the 40th percentile in average exit velocity and hard-hit rate.
This White Sox lineup is due for positive regression and all signs point to it coming tonight against Wentz.
Detroit came into this season with relatively low expectations for its young lineup, and for the most part, it has met them. While last night’s outburst of runs was encouraging, it won’t become a trend as the Tigers face Lance Lynn tonight.
Speaking of trends, Lynn has broken one already this season, as many pegged him to be washed after getting battered through his first few starts of the season.
However, Lynn has allowed just three runs over his last two starts and is averaging a strikeout per inning over that span.
He should continue to deal as the Tigers’ lineup has struggled mightily to hit right-handed pitching. Detroit holds a wRC+ of 84 and a wRAA of -22.1.
In addition to the Tigers’ overall struggles, they also haven’t hit Lynn well in the past.
The Tigers have accumulated 70 at-bats against Lynn and are hitting just .214 with a 32.7% whiff rate. Yes, the player with the most at-bats against him is Miggy, but all of their young bats have seen him as well and have yet to square him up.
White Sox vs. Tigers Betting Pick
The Chicago White Sox are primed for a bounce-back performance tonight. Their lineup has hit lefties exceedingly well, and tonight, they get to face a young, struggling lefty who hasn’t missed many bats.
On the mound, Lynn is beginning to shift the narrative around his 2023 campaign, as he should build on the momentum from his last two outings.
Back the White Sox to even up the series tonight.
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